March 18, 2025

Polymarket bettors say there’s a 100% chance the Fed ends QT before May

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The Federal Reserve signaled in February that QT may need to be revisited due to the US debt ceiling debate.

Betters on Polymarket believe it’s now a certainty that the US Federal Reserve will wind down its quantitative tightening (QT) program by May of this year, a move many analysts say could trigger the next leg of the crypto bull market. 

By March 14, Polymarket’s betting odds that the Fed would end QT by April 30 was 100%, where it remains unchanged at the time of writing.

The wager, titled “Will Fed end QT before May?,” has more than $6.2 million in cumulative trading volume.

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