November 23, 2024

$288K by December? Bitcoin ‘will not stop at $100K’ says stock-to-flow creator

The Bitcoin bull run of 2021 has “at least some months” left to go, says PlanB amid impatience as BTC/USD hovers below recent highs.

Bitcoin (BTC) has plenty of room to grow in its current bull run and “will not stop” at $100,000, according to analysts including PlanB.

In various posts on social media on March 17, the stock-to-flow Bitcoin price model creator joined others in predicting huge new all-time highs for BTC/USD.

PlanB taps S2FX model’s $288,000 average price

With Bitcoin trading sideways below both its recent peaks of $58,300 and $61,700, investors are curious about where the 2021 bull run may end.

As Cointelegraph reported, depending on the price indicator used, the peak could be uncomfortably near or still far off. For followers of stock-to-flow, the answer remains firmly the latter — compared to previous bull cycles, 2021 is just getting started.

“We are only 3.5 months into the Bitcoin bull market,” PlanB summarized.

“IMO BTC will not stop at $100K and will continue to S2FX $288K average price level (ATH will be higher).”

He referenced both his stock-to-flow and stock-to-flow cross-asset models, which give an average BTC/USD price forecast of $100,000 and $288,000 during the currency halving cycle, set to end in 2024.

This is just the average, however, and PlanB believes that the peak of this cycle could be double those figures or even more — potentially in excess of $576,000.

Bitcoin stock-to-flow cross-asset (S2FX) chart as of March 17. Source: PlanB/ Twitter

Further 6X gains by December?

Currently, Bitcoin is following the stock-to-flow trajectory almost to the letter — “like clockwork,” as PlanB describes it — and is yet to give off signs that the cycle top is approaching.

As fellow analyst Rekt Capital notes, such signs tend to come in the form of BTC/USD jumping above the planned trajectory.

“Upside price deviations from the Stock to Flow line tend to precede Bull Market tops for BTC,” the Twitter account wrote.

“At the moment, $BTC is perfectly follow the Stock to Flow line. But Bitcoin hasn’t deviated from it – yet.”

Bitcoin stock-to-flow chart with highlighted deviation. Source: Rekt Capital/ Twitter

Despite the stock-to-flow model not existing during the top of Bitcoin’s first halving cycle price peak in 2011, it achieved a trajectory deviation equal to 1,157%.

Continuing, PlanB highlighted December 2021 as the deadline for $288,000 to hit. In Twitter responses, he reasoned that the bull run has “at least some more months to go.”

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